Airports Council International (ACI) World has unveiled its anticipated Airport Traffic Forecasts 2024–2053, projecting significant long-term growth in global passenger traffic.
Over the next three decades, global passenger numbers are expected to reach 17.7 billion by 2043 and 22.3bn by 2053, the latter nearly 2.4 times the projected volume for 2024.
The new forecasts, which cover 99.8 per cent of global markets across 161 countries, highlight a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.4pc from 2024 to 2043, with a slightly slower CAGR of 3pc from 2024 to 2053.
The projections indicate a steady upward trajectory in global aviation, driven by factors such as rising middle-class travel demand in emerging markets, strengthened international travel, and continued investments in airport infrastructure.
However, short-term challenges include geopolitical tensions, economic instability, trade shifts like reintroduced tariffs, and supply chain bottlenecks, which may slow recovery in some regions.
ACI World director general Justin Erbacci commented: “Despite the challenges in the near term, global air travel is poised for steady, sustained growth. It is crucial for airports, airlines, and policymakers to take bold, forward-thinking action to anticipate and meet the demands of the future. ACI World remains unwavering in its commitment to support its airport members, helping them navigate evolving dynamics and seize opportunities ahead.”